![]() | SAN
JOAQUIN
RIVER Dissolved Oxygen Total Maximum Daily Load Stakeholder Process |
Note: Please send any comments on these notes at your earliest opportunity. Thank you. Kevin ********* San Joaquin River Dissolved Oxygen TMDL Technical Committee Meeting - DRAFT 1 Notes Rough Cut Loading Analysis December 13, 1999 Attending: Doug Ball (USBR), Doug Brewer (JSA), Russ Brown (JSA), John Fleming (Western United Dairymen), Chris Foe (RWQCB), Alex Hildebrand (SDWA and BDAC), Jay Jahangiri (Port of Stockton) Brant Jorgenson (JSA), Vance Kennedy (Farm Bureau), Tom King (RWQCB), Charlie Kratzer (USGS), G. Fred Lee (advisor to DeltaKeeper), Peggy Lehman (DWR), Gary Litton (UOP), Paul Marshall (CalFed), Frank Motzkus (Tracy), Bob Murdoch (Stockton), Casey Ralston (DWR), Rich Stowell (Eco:logic, F.B.), Wangteng Tsai (Systech), Erwin Van Nieuwenhuyse (USFWS, AFRP), Kevin Wolf (facilitator and notes) Next Meeting: 1. To be determined. Expect it in early January. A. Next Steps 1. All responsible people will send their final drafts reports to Fred for incorporation into the synthesis report. These individual reports will be added as appendices in the final. 2. Kevin will review all notes from previous meetings to incorporate questions and issues in their appropriate category. In addition, he will send out note from this meeting. 3. Other people will provide information as noted through these notes. B. Mossdale to Channel Point - Tom King 1. Tom King estimates that the average daily load is 15,000 pounds per day of BOD. Some of the concerns about this calculation include: a. How does this load estimate account for the lab test for B.O.D. and the fact that the test keeps the algae covered and in the dark while algae in the river gets some light and gains air from the surface? Does the B.O.D. test overestimate the load? What is the ultimate BOD for water sampled in this area, not just the 30-day BOD? b. Algae decompose quickly. How does the load estimate account for changes in algal breakdown chemicals based on different flows and residency times? (For more discussion, see D3a.) c. A number of drains empty differing amounts of load into the river between Mossdale and Channel Point. In addition there are diversions in this section that decrease the load as flows are diverted to agricultural fields. We will likely need to identify all discharge sources to and diversions from the river from Vernalis to Mossdale and from Mossdale to Channel Point in order to determine how much of an impact they have cumulatively. For example French Camp Slough provides up to 5% of the flow when the river is running around 1000 cfs, though it could be up to 30% or more when flow drops to 150 cfs as it did at the end of September. (Note: Tom was asked to check his French Camp flow estimates against the measured flows from the current gage in the slough.) d. Most critical to the below-Mossdale load estimate is an accurate calculation of river flows. The UVM device at Channel Point is estimated to be accurate to plus or minus 20%. One way to help verify the river's flow is to have flow measured on the Old River downstream of the split. Using this in combination with the upstream flow measurement at Vernalis and downstream measurements in the main river will help provide a more accurate estimate of flow and load into the DWC. The USGS should be asked for the confidence interval for their flow measurements at Mossdale. e. How accurate are the B.O.D. measurements at Vernalis? This could be a source of error in the load estimate. Also, how much load is added to the river between Vernalis and Mossdale and is any removed through diversions (besides at the Old River)? The New Jerusalem Drain enters the river between these locations. Are there any food processing plants that drain to the river here? 2. Additional monitoring and research should occur in the Mossdale to Channel Point section of the river in order to help determine what occurs through this stretch. For example: a. Are there large clam beds that may be consuming the algae in this stretch of river? b. Are diatoms more readily biodegradable in this reach of the river because it is in a more disturbed state due to the influences of tidal flows? How do the diatoms affect the load estimate and the BOD tests? c. Where does the load go? Does it all reach the DWC or is some removed through diversions in this stretch of the river? d. Flows should be estimated over the course of a full tidal cycle and not just on a daily basis. Can automated monitoring help? This would help in determining the residence time between Mossdale and the DWC. C. Monitoring in the Deep Water Channel - Peggy Lehman 1. Up to the present time, the river continues to have low D.O. levels between the beginning of the DWC to around Disappointment Slough downstream where the Sacramento River enters the river. It is thought that the D.O. improves below Disappointment Slough because of the improved water conditions that occur downstream of where the large amount (and higher quality?) Sacramento River water mixes with the San Joaquin flows. There are a number of issues and questions related to Sacramento River water's impact on D.O. They include: a. A significant percentage (X%) of the Sacramento River's flow is pulled upstream to the state and federal export pumps (and Contra Costa's pumps?) in the south. Does it make a difference in what channels the Sacramento River water travels south? b. How does the opening and closing of the Delta Cross Channel affect Sacramento R. water flows and D.O. conditions? How will future operations of the DCC impact D.O. levels? c. How doe South Delta Barrier operations affect Sacramento River flows through this section of the Lower River and DWC? 2. Water temperatures dropped in October and November and are now around 17 degrees in the middle of December, yet D.O. levels are still below 5. Something is still exerting O2 demand while the capacity of the water for D.O. is increasing as the temperature drops. 3. In-flows and loads from the sloughs around Stockton, from the Calaveras River and from Delta Island discharges are not quantified nor included in the analysis of how D.O. levels change in the DWC. They may or may not be significant contributors to the problem. In addition, what is the impact of the "first flush" of urban areas that occurs with the first rains of the season when this runoff enters the river and the DWC area? 4. More analysis is needed to split out the RWCF load and flows from the Channel Point monitoring data to get the river-only contribution to the DWC load and flow. 5. Especially when river flows drop, determining the fate of RWCF's discharged ammonia will be important. How much of it ends up as nitrate in the river and DWC and what is its impact on D.O.? 6. Suggestions are needed for locations of other monitoring sites throughout the DWC to gain a better understanding of how the hydrodynamics work through out this section of the river. Charlie Kratzer suggests talking to Rick Altman (USGS?) to gain his thinking on monitoring the river here. 7. The D.O. data that Peggy and team collected this fall should be reviewed against data collected by others (who?) who have monitored this section of the river for other projects. D. Computer Modeling - Wangteng Tsai 1. Funding for Rough-cut Analysis and Next Steps a. Are there any funds remaining from the $22,000 allocated to Systech to use the model to assist in the rough-cut analysis? If so, Fred and the Technical Team would like to have some additional runs and parameters explored. Fred will check with Systech and work with them on this. b. The group would like Systech to extend Figure 2 to include October, November and as much of December as possible. c. Run the model after putting in the continuous temperature data in key locations (including R-5) in the low D.O. stretch in order to determine better the model's ability to predict temperature levels. d. Run the model with the new USEPA suggested theta value for temperature and then compare this with the runs with the old theta value? How important of a difference occurs from this change? 2. Reaeration a. How does reaeration work in the model? What are the assumptions for the operation of the Army Corps existing aerator? No one in the meeting knew how much aerators added to the amount of oxygen in solution under field conditions. The laboratory tests showed that the aerators could add 2000 pounds of O2 per day. b. Russ Brown has developed three different methodologies to test the practical effectiveness of aerators. So far, no one has come forward with funding to conduct studies on this. This will be a high priority for future TMDL research on implementation options. It will likely be important to modeling the contribution of the existing aerator on fall water conditions and to accurately balance all the sources and sinks for dissolved O2 in the DWC. c. Fred Lee mentioned that a liquid oxygen aeration system is proving to be quite effective in other environments. It seems worthy for exploration as an implementation option. 3. Algal Load a. How does the model account for the chemical breakdown of algae over the course of its decomposition? How much of it decomposes in what period of time? There is reason to believe that the algae breaks down completely and within two weeks doesn't exert an oxygen demand. During different stages of decomposition different chemicals are produced with differing impacts on dissolved oxygen. What are the present assumptions incorporated in the model? How important is it for the model to include a more precise formula for the decay exertion rate of different algae? 4. Terrestrial Organic Load a. How does the model account for terrestrial organic load and how well is this separated from algal load? Also, studies indicate that terrestrial organics decompose slower than algae and exert an oxygen demand over a longer period of time. Eventually, the model may need to assume different percentages of terrestrial organic material entering the river from different miles upstream and then calculate the oxygen demand they contribute when they reach the DWC. How will we determine whether this level of sophistication is needed? 5. Biomarker and Tracer Research a. It may be that biomarkers and tracer research could help determine how to create a formula that models the breakdown of algae from different upstream sections of the river. Tracers could help separate terrestrial organic material from algal decomposition material. Could it help determine percentages of each in different sections of the river? b. Elizabeth Kanwell (sp?) with the Virginia Institute for Marine Service is working on tracer studies of terrestrial organics in the San Joaquin at Mossdale. Jim Chlorin (sp?) with (?) knows more about this CalFed grant. c. CalFed is also funding a DOC study in the SJR. We need to be coordinating with these projects. It would be good to know the hypotheses they are testing and the methodologies they are using. 6. Continuous DO Monitoring Results a. How well does the Systech model predict the D.O. deficits shown in this past summer and fall monitoring data? Is the D.O. simulation a good fit with the observed data? (There was disagreement on this among committee members.) b. Why is the model overpredicting D.O. in late August and September and why doesn't the modeled D.O. levels drop off at the end of September like they did in the river this year? c. Does the time of day the river data was collected affect the D.O. model prediction results? d. There is concern that there are limits on how the D.O. data can be interpreted because of the low number of data points. 7. River Flow Data a. Having accurate flow data for the San Joaquin below Mossdale and the amount of water passing Channel Point is critical for quantifying the load entering the Deep Water Channel. Concerns and issues on flow data are listed below. b. The new UVM meter at Channel Point may not be accurate. Has it ever been verified? (Someone needs to check with Rick Oltman (sp?) c. Do we know the relationship between flow and water temperature? Can we correlate this to algal growth patterns? d. RWCF flows and loads need to be separated out from river flows to get an accurate estimate of the flow and load of the river upstream of the RWCF outlet. 8. Deep Water Channel Depths a. If the DWC depth is lowered, how does this change the impact of tidal flows on S.O.D.? Does it stir up the sediment more or less? b. How do channel depths affect the sedimentation of material? Would as much settle if the channel was only 10 feet deep? Does it change the location of where the sediment settles? c. How does channel depth affect algal growth? Would more algae be alive and adding net oxygen to the system if the channel was shallower? 9. Model Prediction of Algal Concentrations in 1999 a. How well does the model predict the actual algal concentrations that were observed in 1999? 10. Complexity and Limitations of Modeling a. Alex H. raised concerns over how complex the natural system is and how difficult it will be to model the large number of variables and gain a clear understanding of the analysis. b. At the present time, the answer to this concern is that the technical committee will attempt to diligently note the specific concerns about the model's assumptions and other factors as they reviewed and utilized the model in their analytical efforts. E. Regression Analysis - Erwin Van Nieuwenhuyse 1. Erwin presented a summary of various runs of a regression model he developed to see how data gathered since 1984 (three stations) correlated to low D.O. levels. For a copy of his results and the spreadsheets themselves, contact Erwin at. 2. Concerns were raised about serially correlated variables where factors such as temperatures and flows or temperatures and algal mass are naturally correlated and may not provide any clear explanation about how this is really working in the field. In response, Erwin will conduct additional analysis on the importance of serially correlated variables. F. Sediment Oxygen Demand - Gary Litton 1. The general conclusion is that algae is decomposing and fueling S.O.D. and significantly contributing to the Total Organic Carbon and Dissolved Organic Carbon in the system, but there are doubts. 2. Studies show that as algae decompose, T.O.C. increases immediately but then disappears. What are the ramifications of this process on oxygen demand in the system? Could it be that algal impact on S.O.D. is not significant and that other B.O.D is more important? 3. Terrestrial organic matter from farms and urban areas may be the biggest contributor to S.O.D. in the Deep Water Channel because it takes a much longer time for it to decompose. We haven't separated out what are the relative sources of S.O.D. in the Deep Water Channel. 4. Litton and his team have not quantified nor differentiated between resuspension sediment rates and its demand on oxygen versus the roles of the ongoing deposition of decaying matter coming in from upstream. 5. What are all the causes of resuspension of sediments since resuspension is suspected of exerting a higher oxygen demand than if the sediments remained settled? Besides ship traffic and tidal flows, what are the causes of resuspension? Does air and water temperature changes cause resuspension? 6. It is suggested that S.O.D. tests be redone during slack (neap) tidal periods in addition to the flood tide periods that were tested this last year. G. Other Issues 1. The Role of Sediment a. When does sediment enter the river? Is it variable? Can there be major sediment events that could kill algae between Mossdale and Channel Point that could add more oxygen demand to the system than normal? This is a hypothesis for why the August low dissolved oxygen event occurred. b. If sediment load is blocking light and causing algal death, could a sediment trap and removal of sediment after Mossdale help light penetration? 2. Low Dissolved Oxygen Levels in November and December a. Previously it was thought that as water temperature dropped in these months, low D.O. levels would end. This year, researchers in the field continue to record D.O. below 5 milligrams per liter. b. Low flows and high export rates are a suspected major cause of the low D.O. during these months. This condition leads to long residency times in the river and other conditions that appear to increase the factors that lead to low D.O. levels. 3. The late September Low D.O. Event a. D.O. levels in the DWC dropped dramatically at the end of September. The only thing different that seemed to occur at that time versus earlier in the month is that the South Delta tidal barriers were removed. Removal of the barriers would change the flow throughout the area and may have caused reverse flow conditions at Stockton. b. In addition, increased spring flows to meet VAMP outflow requirements leaves less water available in the fall. Were there fall "attraction flows" released this year? c. Removal of the South Delta tidal barriers also may change biological conditions throughout the area, which may impact D.O. levels. 4. Integrating Solutions into Monitoring, Research and Modeling. a. The ultimate reason for doing all the studies and modeling is to develop a management plan that will resolve the D.O. problem. What are the manageable variables and are we investing enough in studying them, or are we spending too much of our limited resources studying parts of the system that cannot be managed? b. For example, can the system's capacity to assimilate oxygen-demanding material be increased so that less D.O. problems are caused? Changes in tidal barriers, increased flow through recirculation and other actions could increase the system's assimilative capacity. 5. Improve uniformity of data a. Future monitoring and data collection should utilize a uniform standard collection during the time of day, air temperature readings, and other factors. b. Observation procedures need a unified process and procedure 6. Tidal Impacts 1. Lower D.O. levels are recorded during high tide events and higher D.O. levels on low tide events. What mechanism is causing this relationship? 2. Does high tide cause more algal death through decreased light or other factors? 3. Do high tides resuspend sediment and exert a greater S.O.D. than low tides? 7. Sediment Grain Sizes a. Vance Kennedy has information about the velocity of various sediment grain sizes and how they would move downstream. Contact him if you would like more information on this.